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COLIN COWHERD NFL 2016 PLAYOFF CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME PICKS

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Even though Colin didn’t pick against the spread last week, his analysis of the games were all dead wrong, you can check his picks last week here.  He would have gone 0-4 last week if he picked against the spread based on his leans.   Denver was suppose to blowout Pittsburgh??   What was Colin thinking….

COLIN COWHERD NFL 2016 PLAYOFF CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME PICKS:

Colin had RJ Bell from Pregame.com on to break down these games…

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Arizona at Carolina (-3) – Carolina was favored by 4.5 when they were blowing out Seattle in the first half last week, then as Seattle came back late in the game, the line settled at 3.  That shows the pros think Carolina should be favored by more than 3 this game.  70% of the public are on Carolina this game.

RJ Bell is an idiot, he’s pulling data going back to 2002 looking at Arizona as a road team and claims they are below average as a road team, WTF??  Cousin Sal brought up the fact that Arizona is 7-1 this year on the road, that’s definite a more significant data point for this game.  Bell likes Carolina this game, he thinks the messy field favors the home team, and Carson Palmer’s finger is messed up.

Colin likes the home team and swallow the points.  Arizona is a domed team, going cross country, cold weather, possible messy field.  Colin would take Carolina -3 for this game.

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New England at Denver (+3) – This game opened at -2.5, and was immediately bet up to -3.5, but settling at -3 at most places. 75% of the public are taking New England this game, while the wiseguys are on Denver this game.

In a revenge game, Bill Belichick is 45-22 against the spread since 2001, but the wiseguys are dismissing the first matchup this season because Osweiler started that game and Pats were very banged up that game.

Colin would take Denver +3.5 because of that solid defense, and even at +3 Colin would still take Denver.