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MLB Computer Simulation Predictions 2017-08-29

We are monitoring computer simulation picks from fivethirtyeight.com.  In their own words on how they pick the games…

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game.

What they do is they provide probability of winning for each team each day according to their computer simulations.  In our opinion, there’s two ways to interpret these picks:

  1. Compare their probability to the actual odds of the game and find the perceived value.
  2. Take the pick “as is” and select the team with the higher probability as the selection.

MLB Computer Simulation Predictions Record

Value Pick Record (since 5/27/17)

Units W L Total Units %
5 147 202 -78.34 42%
4 59 70 -1.53 46%
3 88 88 19.50 50%
2 100 111 1.42 47%
1 176 188 -17.38 48%
Total 570 659 -76.33 46%

“As Is” Pick Record (since 5/22/17)

Odds W L Total Units %
 -250 or Greater 26 9 1.20 74%
 -200 to -250 73 32 4.20 70%
 -150 to -200 198 134 -25.48 60%
 +100 to -150 363 326 -39.83 53%
Underdogs 54 85 -21.17 39%
Total 714 586 -81.08 55%

MLB Computer Simulation Predictions

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MLB Public Picks For 2017-08-29

EYO Parlay of the Day 2017-08-29