I went 2-0 last week bringing my season record to 4-0. I will continue to try and ride this hot streak, so here we go with our week 7 CFB picks.
Iowa State @ West Virginia
Sean’s Pick: Iowa State -10
Iowa State has had an interesting schedule this season so far. They come into this game with a record of 3-2, both losses coming against ranked teams.
These ranked teams being Iowa and Baylor. Both games came down to the wire, decided by a combined 3 points. Losing to Iowa 18-17 and Baylor 23-21.
Even though they lost these games, they were a few plays away from pulling off big upsets over ranked opponents, not just once but twice. This shows that this team can play.
On the other side, West Virginia does not look so good.
They are allowing more points on average than they’re scoring (28.8 vs. 26.2). They also have the worst run game in the Big 12, averaging just 3.4 yards per carry. Their QB Austin Kendall has had some bright moments, but overall has 9 TDs and 7 interceptions. Below Average.
WVU has had close games with teams such as James Madison and Kansas. They were blown out 38-7 by Missouri. I think that Iowa State is better than all of the teams mentioned.
The Iowa State offense led by QB Brock Purdy has looked amazing this season. Look for this offense to pick apart the WVU defense.
West Virginia will not be able to compete with Iowa State for a full 60 minutes.
Lock in ISU -10.
Florida @ LSU
Sean’s Pick: Under 54.5, LSU -13
I know what you’re probably thinking, LSU and under in the same sentence? That can’t be right.
Well it is!
Last week LSU fell almost 20 points short of their total. The offense was still explosive but actually cooled down from previous weeks. The defense also held Utah State to 6 points.
Florida is regarded by many as a top 10 defense, maybe even top 5. They will, by far, be the biggest test this LSU offense has faced this season. We will see how Burrows and this offense hold up.
I don’t think Florida will shut down LSU, but I do expect the Gators pass rush to affect Joe Burrow and slow this offense down.
Florida’s offense on the other hand, has been less than convincing. They faced a stout defense in Auburn, and take out two massive plays and you have a very weak offensive performance.
I don’t expect LSU to give up too many big plays to Florida.
I expect LSU to win big, and shut down Floridas offense. -13 is a lot of points against a top 10 team, but I just don’t see Florida’s offense competing with Joe Burrows and company. I like the under more than the spread, but I see LSU covering.
Lock in LSU -13 and under 54.5.
Penn State @ Iowa
Sean’s Pick: Iowa +4.5, Under 41.5
Penn State has had quite the showing the last few weeks. Headlined by their blowout win over Maryland.
While they have looked great, we can’t underestimate Iowa at home catching points.
Iowa is the best defense Penn State has seen this season. It will also hands down be their toughest opponent.
Maryland was supposed to be, but Maryland came out and looked terrible. Penn State was the better team but they also caught Maryland on a bad night.
Look for the Iowa’s defense to slow down Penn State and Sean Clifford.
The Nittany Lions defense has also looked good, only allowing 17 points combined in their last 3 games.
This will be a low scoring slug fest and it is why I’m taking the under as well.
Everyone is riding high on Penn State right now, it is time to come back down to earth. They are good but have recently played better than they really are.
I love Iowa catching points at home under the lights.
Lock in Iowa +4.5, and under 41.5.