NFL

Atlanta Falcons -3 Vs Pittsburgh Steelers Predictions For Week 1 2024

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Analysis of the Game: Atlanta Falcons vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Team Overview and Key Players

  • Atlanta Falcons: The Falcons are entering the 2024 season with significant changes, including the addition of quarterback Kirk Cousins and the drafting of quarterback Michael Penix Jr. They also have a strong running game with BJ Robinson and Tyler Allgeier, and a talented wide receiver in Drake London. Their defense features key players like safety Jesse Bates and cornerback D.J. Alford.
  • Pittsburgh Steelers: The Steelers have also made significant changes, naming Russell Wilson as their starting quarterback. Wilson, despite dealing with a calf injury in the preseason, is expected to bring a new dynamic to the Steelers' offense. The team also boasts a strong defensive line, including TJ Watt and Alex Highsmith, and a promising rookie tackle in Broderick Jones.

Matchups to Watch

  • Quarterback Play: Kirk Cousins, despite his injury history, is known for his ability to perform well when protected. The Falcons' offensive line, including right tackle Caleb McGary, will face a tough test against the Steelers' pass rush, particularly TJ Watt.
  • Running Game: Both teams have strong running backs. The Steelers will rely on Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren, while the Falcons will look to BJ Robinson and Tyler Allgeier to establish their ground game.
  • Defensive Battles: The Falcons' pass rush, featuring Grady Jarrett and Rashaad Carter, will face a retooled Steelers offensive line. On the other side, the Steelers' defensive tackles, Keanu Benton and Cameron Heyward, will aim to disrupt the Falcons' offense.

Coaching and Strategy

  • Arthur Smith's Impact: Arthur Smith, now the Steelers' offensive coordinator, knows the Falcons' system well, having been their head coach. This could give the Steelers an edge in terms of game planning.
  • Mike Tomlin's Experience: Mike Tomlin, with his extensive experience, will look to exploit the Falcons' weaknesses and capitalize on Russell Wilson's strengths.

Injury and Preseason Considerations

  • Russell Wilson's Health: Wilson's calf injury limited his preseason action, but he has been taking first-team reps. His health and readiness will be crucial.
  • Kirk Cousins' Mobility: Cousins, coming off a torn Achilles, may not be as mobile as other quarterbacks. Protecting him will be key for the Falcons.

Our Prediction

Given the analysis, the Falcons have a strong home advantage and a well-rounded team with a good balance of offense and defense. However, the Steelers' new quarterback and coaching dynamics could pose a significant challenge.

Why the Underdog Covers the Spread and Wins Outright

  • Russell Wilson's Potential: Despite his preseason injury, Wilson is a proven quarterback who can make plays with his legs and arm. If he can stay healthy, he could lead the Steelers to an upset.
  • Steelers' Defensive Strength: The Steelers' defensive line, particularly TJ Watt, could disrupt the Falcons' offense and limit their scoring opportunities.
  • Coaching Edge: Mike Tomlin's experience and Arthur Smith's knowledge of the Falcons' system could give the Steelers an edge in game planning and execution.

Our Prediction – Pittsburgh Steelers (+3) and Win Outright

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