College Football, Football, Sports Media

Phil Steel’s Week 1 2023 College Football Picks and Analysis

Photo of author
Original Publish Date:
| Last Updated on:

Phil Steel finished last season strong, going 23-11 over the final 6 weeks of 2022. He hopes to continue that success this season.

YouTube video

Phil Steel Picks

San Jose State +16.5 vs Oregon State

  • San Jose State played Oregon State tight last time they met in 2015.
  • SJSU was 6-0 at home last year in a refurbished stadium and will be pumped up.
  • Oregon State is 12-1 at home the last 2 years but just 2-8 ATS as a road favorite.
  • Computers says Oregon State by 17 but yardage projection only equates to 6 point edge.
  • Make this Oregon State -10, so SJSU has value as a 16.5 point dog.

Colorado State +11 vs Washington State

  • Colorado State played very well the last 4 weeks last season despite a 1-3 record. Grades of 95, 92, 95, 95.
  • Washington State struggled down the stretch last year. Finished at 91.9 level.
  • CSU coach is 9-3 ATS as a home dog. Last 4 weeks grades make this CSU by 9.
  • Situational edge favors CSU as well. Taking +11.

Massachusetts +35.5 vs Auburn

  • UMass has covered 9 straight games against SEC schools despite not winning them straight up.
  • UMass coach is 0-6 ATS in road openers and 4-12 ATS out of conference.
  • Auburn is in a letdown spot after beating Mercer last week.
  • Grabbing the big 35.5 points in a likely Auburn blowout win.

Miami FL -16.5 vs Miami OH

  • Miami FL coach needs a big win after last year’s losing season.
  • Miami OH coach is 0-6 ATS in road openers and 4-16 ATS out of conference since emphasizing conference play.
  • Miami FL should roll at home against their in-state little brother.
  • Laying the 16.5 at home.

Leave a Comment