Not gonna lie, but Colin’s been en fuego last few weeks. He went 4-1 last week, and actually went 4-0 if you exclude the Thanksgiving day game. Let’s keep this going.
THE HERD’S BLAZIN’ FIVE PICKS NFL 2016 WEEK 13 (Season Record 35-24-1):
[loser] Los Angeles (+13.5) at New England – Patriots are pretty solid on defense, ranked 3rd in the league in PPG allowed at just 17.9 points, but they are ranked just 14th in the league in yards allowed, so teams can move the ball against this defense. Pats also have some injury concerns, Brady has a banged up knee and Gronk is out indefinitely. They are only 3-2 ATS a home this season. Rams should cover this game, Pats win 26-16.
[winner] Houston at Green Bay (-6) – Osweiler has thrown for more picks than TDs this season, and Texans are awful on the road with 1-4 record. Their offense is ranked 31st in the league in yards per play. Meanwhile, Arod has been red hot the last 6 games, with 17 TDs, 3 picks and a passer rating of 104.1. Houston just doesn’t have the offense to keep up with the Packers this week. GB wins 29-13.
[loser] Buffalo (+3) at Oakland – This is Cousin Sal’s best bet this week. Same logic as Cousin Sal. Bills are #1 in the league in rushing at 157.4 yards per game, while the Raiders are last in the league on defense in yards per play allowed. Rex will try to keep the Oakland offense on the sidelines by pounding the ball. The Bills also only have given the ball away 6 times this season, so they will keep the ball and grind the clock this game. Buffalo will win in an upset, 27-26.
[winner] Tampa Bay (+4) at San Diego – Bucs have been solid on the road this season with 4-1 record, and their defense has been smoking hot the last 3 games, allowing only 10.7 PPG. San Diego has the most turnovers in the league with 23 already. With San Diego likely out of playoffs contention, the Bucs have more to play for this game, they will win 23-21.
[loser] New York Giants (+6) at Pittsburgh – Pittsburgh has been good in December, but 6 points is too much to give up. Giants defense is solid and should keep this a close game. JPP has been playing well, with 5.5 sacks in his last 2 games. Landon Collins has 5 INTs, which is second in the league. Steelers will win 26-23.