Colin actually had a pretty good week last week, he went 3-2, but he was so close to a 4-1 week if Steelers just kept that late lead.
THE HERD’S BLAZIN’ FIVE PICKS NFL 2016 WEEK 11 (Season Record 28-21-1):
[winner] Miami (-1) at Los Angeles – Going against Cousin Sal’s best bet here. Dolphins defense just manhandled the Chargers last week, picked off Rivers 4 time, and 8 picks in their last 4 games. Miami offense has been rolling with Tannehill playing well (102.4 passer rating since week 6) and Ajayi blowing up into a premiere RB. In their current 4 game winning streak, Dolphins averaged 180 yards rushing per game. Miami wins 31-13
[winner] Buffalo (+3) at Cincinnati – Buffalo is not loved by the public but they are a good team. They rank 4th in the NFL in 1st quarter scoring, so they don’t get behind early in their games. They lead the league in 20+ yard TDs with four, and average 155 yards rushing per game, good for second in the NFL. Bills are simply a better team than Cincy at this point. Buffalo wins 28-26
[winner] Chicago (+7) at New York – Colin going with his betting rule here, which is that teams that just got humiliated the previous week tend to bounce back the following week. Colin also does not trust this Giants team. 8 of their 9 games this season have been decided by a TD or less. They have a -2 point differential despite their 6-3 record. Eli is still erratic with the ball, Giants have a -8 turnover margin, which is the worst in the league. New York wins a close one 24-22.
[loser] Green Bay (+2.5) at Washington – Colin going against the Redskins for once. He still thinks they are a good team, but when they win they don’t blow teams away. Redskins are terrible in their redzone efficiency, scoring TD only on 39% of their opportunities. On defense, Redskins have allowed 20+ points in 8 of the 9 games this season. Green Bay was humiliated last week, will bounce back this week to win 27-26.
[loser] Baltimore (+7.5) at Dallas – Here is a matchup of #1 rushing defense (Ravens) against the #1 rushing offense (Cowboys). Dallas is 8-0-1 ATS this year, they are bound to revert back to the mean. Too many points to give up against a great Ravens defense. Dallas just came off a physical game against the Steelers, Dak should struggle a bit this game. Cowboys win 24-20 take the points.