After three straight 4–1 weeks, Colin cooled off a bit in Week 9. He nailed the Niners and Bears, but the over came up just short and both NFC East plays fell flat. Still, 26–19 on the season keeps him well above .500 and in the profitable zone heading into Week 10.

Onto week 9…

Blazing 5 Record

2025 Season: 52-37-1 (58.4%)

Week 1: 3-2
Week 2: 2-3
Week 3: 1-4
Week 4: 3-2
Week 5: 3-2
Week 6: 4-1
Week 7: 4-1
Week 8: 4-1
Week 9: 2-3
Week 10: 3-2
Week 11: 5-0
Week 12: 2-3
Week 13: 2-3
Week 14: 3-2
Week 15: 2-3
Week 16: 4-0-1
Week 17: 2-3
Week 18: 3-2

Past Records

2025: 52-37-1 (58.4%)
2024: 30-47-2 (39.0%)
2023: 45-35-5 (56.3%)
2022: 44-37-4 (54.3%)
2021: 39-47 (45.3%)
2020: 40-42-2 (48.8%)
2019: 42-41-3 (50.6%)
2018: 43-33-2 (57.7%)
2017: 43-29-3 (59.7%)
2016: 44-33-3 (57.1%)

Colin Cowherd Week 10 2025 Blazing 5

Colts -5.5 vs Falcons (Berlin)
Ravens -3.5 at Vikings (line may vary by book; he’s on Baltimore)
Buccaneers -2.5 vs Patriots
Lions -7.5 at Commanders
Steelers +3 at Chargers

Colts -5.5 vs Falcons (Berlin)

Indy’s underlying profile is still strong despite the Pittsburgh flop: league-best-ish yards per play, a top-two total offense, and a clear “when JT is rolling, they don’t lose” trend. Atlanta, meanwhile, has been outgained in every game of the current skid and is getting brutal on third down. On a neutral in Berlin, the Colts’ balance (and pass game explosives) travel better than Atlanta’s sputtering offense. Bounce-back spot: Colts by a touchdown.

Ravens -3.5 at Vikings

Extra rest plus Lamar in MVP form is a tough combo. With Lamar, the Ravens are hovering around 32 a game, and the defense has quietly stacked three straight “sub-20 allowed” weeks now that they’re healthy. Minnesota’s D has been on the field too long and is leaking 30 a game across the last three; they were even outgained in the Detroit “win.” Lamar historically cooks NFC opponents—add urgency, and this sets up for a road cover.

Buccaneers -2.5 vs Patriots

Tampa off a bye, getting the RT back, and averaging 28 at home is a nice checklist. Todd Bowles blitz looks especially mean against a rookie who’s been taking too many sacks. New England’s feisty, but their strength of schedule has been soft and the protection issues are real. If Baker stays on script, Tampa’s passing game plus pressure package should be enough to win by a field goal (or more).

Lions -7.5 at Commanders

Detroit’s metrics against Minnesota were fine—more yards, better on late downs, controlled the ball. That usually precedes a response week, and Detroit’s pass rush (second in sacks behind Denver) should matter here. Washington’s riding a four-game skid and generated pressure on just 3 of 24 Sam Darnold dropbacks last week; if Jared Goff gets clean pockets, Ben Johnson will pick apart this secondary. Lions by multiple scores is in play.

Steelers +3 at Chargers

Live dog. Pittsburgh is 4-0 when keeping foes under 30, and the Chargers’ OL is held together with tape: both tackles out, more dings inside, and it’s shown—Herbert has a pick in three straight as he’s forced to speed up. The Steelers just shoved around Indy’s front and match up well versus a Chargers run game that shouldn’t threaten. Add a heavy Pittsburgh crowd in L.A., and the upset script (24–23 type) is very real; take the points.

Colin Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5 Picks: NFL Week 10 in 2025