Bill Simmons and Joe House’s Week 11 NFL Picks 2025
Onto week 11…
Bill Simmons NFL Picks Record
2025 Season: 27-28 (49%)
- Week 1: 1-4
- Week 2: 3-2
- Week 3: 1-4
- Week 4: 3-2
- Week 5: 2-3
- Week 6: 4-1
- Week 7: 3-2
- Week 8: 3-2
- Week 9: 2-3
- Week 10: 2-3
- Week 11: 3-2
- Week 12:
Bill Simmons Week 11 NFL Picks 2025
Week 11 Picks Summary
- Vikings –2.5 vs Bears
- Browns +7.5 vs Ravens
- Seahawks +3 at Rams
- Jaguars +3 vs Chargers
- Parlay: Chiefs –2.5 at Broncos + Cardinals +13.5 vs 49ers
Vikings –2.5 vs Bears
Minnesota’s season hangs in the balance. With back-to-back road trips ahead, this is a must-win spot against an inconsistent Bears team living off turnover luck. Caleb Williams’ highs can’t mask Chicago’s defensive holes, while Minnesota’s offense has quietly stabilized. Home field and urgency make the Vikings the side.
Browns +7.5 vs Ravens
Cleveland at home is a different animal—elite defense, bad weather, and a physical style that drags opponents into ugly games. Baltimore’s offense has sputtered lately, and Lamar doesn’t look 100%. As long as Cleveland keeps it on the ground, this feels like a grind-it-out AFC North game that stays within one score.
Seahawks +3 at Rams
Seattle has quietly become one of the league’s best road teams under Mike Macdonald, and they can throw on a vulnerable Rams secondary. Darnold’s been efficient, but Seattle’s defense can pressure and disrupt rhythm. Expect another divisional dogfight that comes down to the final possession.
Jaguars +3 vs Chargers
The humidity in Jacksonville and the Chargers’ shaky O-line make this a rough setup for L.A. Herbert’s connection with Madison Beer might boost his stats, but Jacksonville’s front can take over late. The Jaguars are a classic zig-zag team, and this is the week to catch the upswing.
Parlay: Chiefs –2.5 at Broncos + Cardinals +13.5 vs 49ers
Kansas City off a bye versus Bo Nix and a limited Denver offense is a favorable setup, especially with Spagnuolo’s defense ready for misdirection schemes. Pairing that with Arizona catching nearly two touchdowns at home against a battered 49ers defense offers solid cushion. Both teams should stay inside the number for a clean ticket.