Bill Simmons and Joe House’s Week 9 NFL Picks 2025
Onto week 9…
Bill Simmons NFL Picks Record
2025 Season: 27-28 (49%)
- Week 1: 1-4
- Week 2: 3-2
- Week 3: 1-4
- Week 4: 3-2
- Week 5: 2-3
- Week 6: 4-1
- Week 7: 3-2
- Week 8: 3-2
- Week 9: 2-3
- Week 10: 2-3
- Week 11: 3-2
- Week 12:
Bill Simmons Week 9 NFL Picks 2025
- Parlay: Chargers ML + Lions ML + Bills +7.5
- Texans –1.5 vs Broncos
- Colts –3 vs Steelers
- Seahawks –3 vs Commanders
- Bears –2.5 at Bengals
Parlay: Chargers ML + Lions ML + Bills +7.5
The main parlay combines two reliable moneyline favorites and one value spread. The Chargers are expected to handle Tennessee with Justin Herbert back in rhythm. Detroit, physical and disciplined, should overpower Minnesota and continue their NFC dominance. The Bills leg (+7.5) gives cushion against Mahomes — Allen doesn’t need to win, just hang close. It’s a three-teamer with balanced risk and solid logic behind each side.
Texans –1.5 vs Broncos
Houston’s defense has quietly become elite — top five across every major category — and DeMeco Ryans’ quote fired up the room: “If you don’t like playing our way, that’s cool. You just won’t be a Texan.” Denver’s been hot, but Houston’s home front seven should disrupt Bo Nix all game. This is a classic culture and toughness bet.
Colts –3 vs Steelers
The Colts’ offense keeps shocking people, drawing comparisons to the 1999 Rams’ “Greatest Show on Turf.” Daniel Jones is thriving, Jonathan Taylor looks elite, and every throw finds a receiver in stride. Pittsburgh’s defense, despite big names, is crumbling — bottom of the league in most metrics. The line should be higher; Indy’s attack is simply too efficient.
Seahawks –3 vs Commanders
Seattle is built like a contender again — dominant defense, balanced offense, and a home-field edge. Washington, meanwhile, looks slow and lost, the league’s oldest roster showing cracks. With McLaurin hurt and no consistent playmaker, this feels like a two-score Seattle win.
Bears –2.5 at Bengals
Chicago’s offense is improving and Caleb Williams faces a Cincinnati defense ranked bottom three in nearly every category. The Bears’ front is healthy, their run game effective, and the Bengals’ locker room is fracturing. Simmons warned if Caleb can’t win this one, he’s “Kyler Murray for us,” but it’s the right spot to back him before the market adjusts.